Abstract:
The forecasting of rice production is
considered as one of the real world complex
problems due to its non-deterministic nature and
uncertain behavior. Fuzzy time series relies on
real time fuzzy values for the input andprovides
more accuracy in pattern and gives more accurate
result. In this paper, the system presents the
method to forecast of agricultural production
based on fuzzy time series.The system
appliesforecasting technique using the fuzzy set
theory and fuzzy time series.Trapezoidal
membership function is used to calculate the fuzzy
set and the centroid method is used for
defuzzification module. To illustrate the
forecasting process, the time series data of rice
production in Bago Division is collected and
forecast for the next year rice production in Bago
Division.
